|LC Classifications||JA71 .A14 2011|
|The Physical Object|
|LC Control Number||2011010085|
Explaining political judgment is the first comprehensive study to show what a neo-Durkheimian institutional approach can offer to political science and to the social sciences generally\"-- \/span>\"@ en \/a> ; \u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\n schema:description \/a> \" 1. On political judgement -- 2. The need for richer explanation -- 3. Explaining political judgement / Perri 6. p. cm. ISBN (Hardback) 1. Judgment–Political aspects. 2. Decision making–Political aspects. 3. Judgment–Political aspects–Case studies. 4. Decision making–Political aspects–Case studies. 5. Cuban Missile Crisis, I. Title. JAA14 –dc22 Explaining Political Judgement by Perri 6, , available at Book Depository with free delivery worldwide. Explaining Political Judgement: Perri 6: . Expert Political Judgment This book made a splash when it was released because it tested the ability of experts to predict outcomes in various areas of finance, economics, and politics. Experts did very poorly, in fact they did worse than chance alone. Well-informed people actually did better than experts, though still worse than chance.
Explaining political judgment is the first comprehensive study to show what a neo-Durkheimian institutional approach can offer to political science and to the social sciences generally. 豆瓣成员常用的标签(共7个) . For an answer, you might want to browse through a very fascinating study by Philip Tetlock who in Expert Political Judgment contends that there is no direct correlation between the intelligence and knowledge of the political expert and the quality of his or her forecasts. If you want to know whether this or that pundit is making a correct prediction, don't ask yourself what he or she is Cited by: Philip Tetlock's book Expert Political Judgment wants to know something very simple that is very difficult to find out. Through research, Tetlock wants to know how people can make good predictions about big social, economic, and political issues.4/5. The Concept of Political Judgment book. Read reviews from world’s largest community for readers. What is good political judgment? Is it a science subject 4/5(3).
What is it to have good judgment in politics? What is it to be politically wise, or gifted, to be a political genius, or even to be no more than politically competent, to know how to get things done? Perhaps one way of looking for the answer is by considering what we are saying when [ ]. The book that would emerge from this effort would be variable-centered, not person-centered. The focus would be on the links between how people think and what they get right or wrong, at various junctures, in a kaleidoscopically shifting world. I realize that the resulting cognitive portrait of expert political judgment is not altogetherFile Size: KB. Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? is a book by Philip E. Tetlock. It mentions how experts are often no better at making predictions than most other people, and how when they're wrong, they're rarely held accountable. References [ edit ]. The Books at the Judgment Devotional by John Piper; All who dwell on earth will worship [the beast], everyone whose name has not been written before the foundation of the world in the book of life of the Lamb who was slain. (Revelation ) Salvation is secured for all who are written in the book of life.